Trade Expectancy Calculator
Find out whether a trading system makes money on average β expectancy per trade in dollars and R, plus the break-even win rate.
Result
Enter values to see the result.
How to use the Trade Expectancy Calculator
- 1Enter your Win rate (in %).
- 2Enter your Average win (in USD).
- 3Enter your Average loss (in USD).
- 4Enter your Trades per month.
- 5The result and full breakdown update instantly β no signup, no waiting, and your numbers never leave your browser.
About the Trade Expectancy Calculator
Find out whether a trading system makes money on average β expectancy per trade in dollars and R, plus the break-even win rate. It's a free tool in our trading calculators collection on TheCryptoTools, runs entirely in your browser, and works on mobile. If you found it useful, try Crypto Win Rate Calculator, Kelly Criterion Calculator and Risk of Ruin Calculator.
π Learn more
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Why a 50% loss needs a 100% gain to recover, how long losing streaks really get, and how to size trades so a bad run cannot end you.
Frequently asked questions
οΌWhat is trading expectancy?
The average profit or loss you can expect per trade: (win rate Γ average win) β (loss rate Γ average loss). Positive means the system is profitable over many trades.
οΌWhat is 'R'?
R is your risk unit β one average loss. Expressing expectancy in R (e.g. 0.3R) lets you compare systems regardless of position size.
οΌWhat's the break-even win rate?
The win rate at which expectancy is exactly zero, given your reward:risk. Above it you're profitable; below it you lose money even with winners.
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For educational purposes only. Trade Expectancy Calculator results are estimates, not financial advice.