Virtuals Protocol Investment Calculator
What would buying VIRTUAL have been worth? Pick a plan and a start date and this replays it against real daily Virtuals Protocol closes.
What VIRTUAL actually did, in the data this page replays
Measured from the 518 daily closes this page replays — 11 April 2025 to 10 September 2026, from Binance. Figures are bounded by that window, not by the asset’s whole life.
| History available | 17 months (from Binance) |
|---|---|
| Bought on the first day, held to the last | 1.23× |
| Highest close in this window | $2.45 on 27 May 2025 |
| Where it sits against that high | 73.4% below |
| Deepest fall | −78.8%, 27 May 2025 → 5 February 2026 |
| Time to get back to that peak | still below it |
| Separate falls of 50% or more | 1 |
| Days spent more than 20% below a previous peak | 89.6% |
| Best calendar year (partial) | 2025: +22.3% |
| Worst calendar year (partial) | 2026: -7.1% |
| Annualised volatility | 134.9% |
VIRTUAL year by year
First close to last close each year. 2025 and 2026 are partial — the data starts mid-2025 and 2026 is still running.
| Year | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +22.3% | partial year |
| 2026 | -7.1% | partial year |
The part the calculator does not show you
Held from the first day in this data to the last, VIRTUAL returned 1.23×. That headline is the easy part. The number underneath it is that the position spent 89.6% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak — so for most of the time you owned it, you were looking at a figure lower than one you had already seen.
The deepest fall took VIRTUAL down 78.8%, from $2.45 on 27 May 2025 to $0.5185 on 5 February 2026 — 8 months of falling. VIRTUAL has not been back to that peak since. Anyone who bought on 27 May 2025 is still waiting, 9 months later — which is the scenario a backtest showing a positive average return quietly averages away.
One caveat specific to VIRTUAL: we only hold 17 months of daily closes for it, which is not enough to cover a full cycle. Any result the calculator gives you is a statement about one short stretch of an unusually eventful market, and the confidence you can place in it is correspondingly low. The coins on this site with six or more years of history give far more meaningful answers.
At 134.9% annualised volatility, VIRTUAL sits in the top band of anything on this site — the drawdown figures above, not the average, are the number to plan around. All VIRTUAL calculators →
Frequently asked questions
＋Would buying VIRTUAL on the first day of this data and holding have made money?
Yes — 1.23× from 11 April 2025 to 10 September 2026. The figure is real but it is also the single luckiest entry available in this window, and it required holding through a fall of 78.8% on the way. Set the calculator to a date you might plausibly have chosen instead and the answer usually changes a great deal.
＋What is the worst VIRTUAL has fallen?
78.8% in this data, from 27 May 2025 down to 5 February 2026 — 8 months of falling. It has not returned to that peak since, so anyone who bought at the top is still waiting. Bear in mind our VIRTUAL series starts in 2025; a deeper fall before that date would not appear here.
＋How much time does VIRTUAL spend below its previous high?
89.6% of all days in this window sat more than 20% below a previous peak. Put another way, for most of the time you would have owned it, the screen showed a number lower than one you had already seen — which is the part of a backtest's headline return that the headline never conveys.
＋What were VIRTUAL's best and worst years?
2025 was the best at +22.3% (a partial year in our data), and 2026 the worst at -7.1% (also partial). The gap between those two is the reason a single average annual return is a poor description of this asset: almost nobody experiences the average, they experience one of the two extremes depending on when they bought.
＋Is 17 months of data enough to trust this backtest?
No, and that is the honest answer for VIRTUAL specifically. 17 months does not cover a full market cycle, so any result here describes one short stretch rather than a pattern. Treat it as a record of what happened, not as evidence about what tends to happen.
What to keep in mind for VIRTUAL
VIRTUAL is a high-beta proxy for the 'AI agent' narrative — it saw a large 2024–25 run-up and drawdown and reprices hard on AI-sentiment swings and agent-launch activity.
VIRTUAL is cheap to move on Base; the bridged Ethereum version costs Ethereum gas, which usually dwarfs a small position.
A backtest is one path that already happened. It shows what this plan produced through the exact sequence of prices VIRTUAL went through — not what a similar plan will produce through a sequence nobody has seen yet.