Pudgy Penguins Investment Calculator
What would buying PENGU have been worth? Pick a plan and a start date and this replays it against real daily Pudgy Penguins closes.
What PENGU actually did, in the data this page replays
Measured from the 633 daily closes this page replays — 17 December 2024 to 10 September 2026, from Binance. Figures are bounded by that window, not by the asset’s whole life.
| History available | 21 months (from Binance) |
|---|---|
| Bought on the first day, held to the last | 0.265× — a loss of 73.5% |
| Highest close in this window | $0.04313 on 27 July 2025 |
| Where it sits against that high | 82.4% below |
| Deepest fall | −91%, 6 January 2025 → 8 April 2025 |
| Time to get back to that peak | 4 months after the low — 27 July 2025 |
| Separate falls of 50% or more | 2 |
| Days spent more than 20% below a previous peak | 91.6% |
| Best calendar year | 2025: -77.9% |
| Annualised volatility | 136.2% |
PENGU year by year
First close to last close each year. 2024 and 2026 are partial — the data starts mid-2024 and 2026 is still running.
| Year | Change | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | +16.3% | partial year |
| 2025 | -77.9% | best full year |
| 2026 | -19.8% | partial year |
The part the calculator does not show you
Held from the first day in this data to the last, PENGU returned 0.265× — a loss of 73.5%. Long holding periods are usually presented as the thing that rescues a volatile asset, and over this particular window for this particular coin, they did not. It is worth setting the calculator above to the full range and seeing that result written out before assuming time fixes an entry.
The deepest fall took PENGU down 91%, from $0.04303 on 6 January 2025 to $0.003868 on 8 April 2025 — 3 months of falling. Getting back to that peak took a further 4 months, reached on 27 July 2025. Add those together and the round trip was 7 months — the length of time someone who bought at the top had to hold before they were merely even again.
One caveat specific to PENGU: we only hold 21 months of daily closes for it, which is not enough to cover a full cycle. Any result the calculator gives you is a statement about one short stretch of an unusually eventful market, and the confidence you can place in it is correspondingly low. The coins on this site with six or more years of history give far more meaningful answers.
Note that PENGU's best calendar year in this window is still a negative one (2025, -77.9%). There is no year in the data where holding it for the twelve months made money.
At 136.2% annualised volatility, PENGU sits in the top band of anything on this site — the drawdown figures above, not the average, are the number to plan around. All PENGU calculators →
Frequently asked questions
＋Would buying PENGU on the first day of this data and holding have made money?
No. Held across the whole window the position ended at 0.265× — a loss of 73.5%. That is worth stating plainly because "hold long enough and it recovers" is the usual advice, and over the 21 months we hold for PENGU it did not happen.
＋What is the worst PENGU has fallen?
91% in this data, from 6 January 2025 down to 8 April 2025 — 3 months of falling. It took a further 4 months to get back to that peak, on 27 July 2025, so the full round trip was 7 months. Bear in mind our PENGU series starts in 2024; a deeper fall before that date would not appear here.
＋How often does PENGU lose half its value?
2 separate falls of 50% or more appear in this data, and the position spent 91.6% of all days more than 20% below a previous peak. A drop of that size is not an exceptional event for this asset — it is a recurring feature of the record, which is the thing to size a position around.
＋Is 21 months of data enough to trust this backtest?
No, and that is the honest answer for PENGU specifically. 21 months does not cover a full market cycle, so any result here describes one short stretch rather than a pattern. Treat it as a record of what happened, not as evidence about what tends to happen.
What to keep in mind for PENGU
PENGU is a high-volatility brand/meme token that has swung hard since its 2024 launch, repricing on NFT-market sentiment, brand news and listings rather than fundamentals.
PENGU is cheap to move on Solana; the bridged Ethereum version costs Ethereum gas, which for a fraction-of-a-cent token can dwarf a small position.
A backtest is one path that already happened. It shows what this plan produced through the exact sequence of prices PENGU went through — not what a similar plan will produce through a sequence nobody has seen yet.